[1]覃松涛,周厚文,明小松.广深港高速磁浮铁路客流预测的实践与探索[J].机车电传动,2020,(06):42-46.[doi:10.13890/j.issn.1000-128x.2020.06.009]
 QIN Songtao,ZHOU Houwen,MING Xiaosong.Practice and Exploration on Passenger Flow Forecast of Guangzhou-Shenzhen-Hong Kong High-speed Maglev Railway[J].Electric Drive for Locomotives,2020,(06):42-46.[doi:10.13890/j.issn.1000-128x.2020.06.009]
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广深港高速磁浮铁路客流预测的实践与探索()
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机车电传动[ISSN:1000-128X/CN:43-1125/U]

卷:
期数:
2020年06期
页码:
42-46
栏目:
磁浮技术专栏
出版日期:
2020-11-10

文章信息/Info

Title:
Practice and Exploration on Passenger Flow Forecast of Guangzhou-Shenzhen-Hong Kong High-speed Maglev Railway
文章编号:
1000-128X(2020)06-0042-05
作者:
覃松涛周厚文明小松
(中铁第四勘察设计院集团有限公司,湖北武汉 430063)
Author(s):
QIN Songtao ZHOU Houwen MING Xiaosong
( China Railway Siyuan Survey and Design Group Co., Ltd., Wuhan, Hubei 430063, China )
关键词:
高速磁浮客流预测大数据粤港澳大湾区
Keywords:
high-speed maglev passenger flow forecast big data Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area
分类号:
U237
DOI:
10.13890/j.issn.1000-128x.2020.06.009
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
以粤港澳大湾区广深港高速磁浮铁路为例,对速度为600 km/h的高速磁浮铁路客流预测进行实践与探索。通过大数据方法,深入剖析大湾区及沿线客流的出行特征,建立基于“四阶段法”的粤港澳大湾区需求预测模型,预测广深港高速磁浮项目客流指标,为项目推进提供客流数据支撑。
Abstract:
Taking Guangzhou-Shenzhen-Hong Kong high-speed maglev railway in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area as an example, the passenger flow forecast of high-speed maglev railway with a speed of 600 km/h was explored. By means of big data, the characteristics of passenger flow in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area and along the line was analyzed, and the demand forecasting model of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area was established based on the "four-step Method". The passenger flow index of Guangzhou-Shenzhen-Hong Kong high-speed maglev project was forecasted, which provided passenger flow support for the project promotion.

参考文献/References:

[1] 中国中铁二院工程集团有限责任公司. 铁路工程设计技术手册:铁路运量[M]. 北京: 中国铁道出版社, 2010.
 [2] 翁秀玲. 高速磁浮交通与大运量客运交通的兼容和互补[J]. 城市轨道交通研究, 2009, 12(7): 23-25.
[3] 杜聪. 清远磁浮旅游专线客流预测研究[J]. 交通企业管理, 2018, 33(5): 53-55.
 [4] 刘武斌. 中低速磁浮轨道交通旅游特性下系统优化研究——以清远磁浮旅游轨道交通为例[J]. 铁道标准设计, 2020, 64(6): 16-22.
 [5] 北京交通发展研究院. 城市轨道交通客流预测规范: GB/T 51150—2016[S]. 北京: 中国建筑工业出版社, 2016.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
作者简介:覃松涛(1988—),男,硕士,高级工程师,从事铁路及轨道交通规划设计工作。
更新日期/Last Update: 2020-11-10